“Overall for this summer, we are seeing a higher probability of above-average rainfall.
“We are also looking for a higher probability of higher-than-normal current flow, so our rivers and streams will also be higher,” Dr. Watkins said.
“That combination means there is a risk of widespread flooding in Queensland, New South Wales and Victoria, and also a high risk in other areas.
But rain won’t eliminate the risk of fires, as temperatures are still soaring.
Grassland fires are expected to pose a greater threat than wildfires in the coming months.
Dr. John Bates, CRC’s director of research for wildfires and natural hazards, said that increased rainfall this year had encouraged growth of vegetation, meaning there is plenty of grass and crops on hot, dry days. to burn.
“It doesn’t take long for the herb to taste and burn,” he said.
Grass fires are forecast in Victoria in the northeast and around the Murray River, but this will be a relatively small portion compared to what New South Wales is expected to experience.
Dr. Bates said that grass fires had the potential to be more dangerous than wildfires because they travel faster, but cautioned that the latter could still happen.
Despite the wetter weather and reduced wildfire risk, Dr. Bates said it was critical that everyone have a fire plan in place.
“Have a wildfire plan and safety plan … older family or people who need help, work with them.”
Tourists in high-risk locations are also advised to be on high alert.
South Australia and Western Australia are also on high alert for grass fires, both of which are experiencing extremely dry conditions.
In the meantime, Queensland should prepare for an above-average number of tropical cyclones, said Dr Watkins.
Despite the La Niña rain, we will still see heat waves during the summer.
Dr. Watkins said they may not go to the extremes of last year, but they could be longer and wetter, which can have a big impact on health.
As the country heads into an unsettling summer, November continues to produce unusual weather, with much of the country heading for a heat wave in the coming days.
Starting tomorrow, temperatures will reach eight to 12 degrees above average for this time of year, from Kalgoorlie to Canberra, said Dean Narramore, senior forecaster with the Bureau of Metrology.
South Australia could see temperatures reaching 15-18 degrees above average, with the heat set to increase starting tomorrow.
Adelaide can expect to hit over 40 as of Friday, while inland areas are scheduled to hit 40-40 degrees.
Severe heat will begin to move east, with a particular emphasis on NSW and QLD, who will see temperatures in the 40s from Sunday into next week.
Victoria’s north and north-west will see similar temperatures, but Melbourne will be spared the southerly winds, which will hit minus 30 degrees tomorrow, but will receive a fresh change on Saturday night.