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The Super Bowl is always one of the most exciting days of the year. Even if the game is bad (which, thankfully, the vast majority of recent Super Bowls haven’t been), there’s plenty of fun to be had. There is food. There is company. And most importantly, there are bets! It’s a little early to start putting anything up, but it’s never too early to start looking for the best. NFL odds and betting on Super Bowl 56.

*All lines are from DraftKings

Super Bowl 56 Best Bets

Sportsbooks usually don’t post props until a couple of days before the game. When there’s only one game left and it’s the biggest game of the season, we get them as soon as possible.

Of course, not all accessories are on the board yet. Let’s take a look at the options that currently exist and see if anything stands out as a possible best bet for Super Bowl 56.

Joe Burrow on 37.5 (-110) attempts to pass

Ride the wave. The Bengals are Joe Burrow’s team, and they will win or lose with his right arm.

In the regular season, Burrow averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game, but it’s been a different story in the postseason. Burrow is averaging 36.3 pass attempts per game in the playoffs. If we extend it to his last two regular-season games, his average jumps to 38.8.

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Very early Super Bowl picks and predictions: Will the Bengals or Rams come first?

The Rams finished sixth in rushing defense in terms of yards allowed, but 22 against the pass. While Joe Mixon is arguably one of the most talented running backs in the league, the Rams just stifle opposing running backs. They held the Cardinals to 61 yards on 18 attempts. Similarly, the Bucs managed just 51 yards on 14 rushes, and the 49ers rushed 20 times for 50 yards.

If the Bengals intend to win this game, they will implement a pass-heavy approach. Unless the Bengals run away with this game, Burrow should drive in 40 pass attempts.

Joe Mixon under 64.5 rushing yards (-120)

Often the prop bets I choose tell a story. In the Super Bowl, the story is that the Rams shut down Mixon and force the Bengals to pitch.

The AFC Championship Game was the first time Mixon had rushed for more than 65 yards since Week 12. I was under Mixon’s rushing total and I lost that bet. But I don’t feel bad about it. The process was correct, and as far as I was concerned, I was correct.

At the end of the 60 minutes, Mixon remained below his running total. Unfortunately for me, he outplayed him in overtime.

This week, I’m going back to the well. In his last eight games, Mixon is averaging 3.07 yards per carry. Based on his recent performance, he’ll need to push in 20 carries or break up a big run to top his runs total. Probability suggests that it won’t. I really like that Mixon goes under his rushing total as one of my best bets for Super Bowl 56.

Bengals +4.5 (-110)

I haven’t come to a decision on which side I like in this game or if I’m going to bet on one side. It’s very early and I don’t want to make rash decisions. That said, we can still make a preliminary assessment of the spread.

The Bengals are installed as 4.5-point underdogs. They have been underdogs in every playoff game except the first against the Raiders and have covered in all three as well.

On the other hand, the Rams were favored twice and underdogs once. They also covered in all games. We have two teams that are 3-0 against the spread in the playoffs. One of them will lose next week.

My initial inclination is to take the points here. The Bengals have proven to be a rudimentary group that opponents can’t pick off. Even if the Rams win, it should be a close game. Five of the last six playoff games have been decided by a field goal, and the one that didn’t went into overtime was a field goal when regulation time expired.

This line opened at 3.5 and quickly bet up to 4.5, which surprised me a bit. Maybe the Rams playing at home at SoFi Stadium has something to do with it.

Regardless of the reason, 4.5 feels like the best number we’re going to get. I’m not going to bet on the Bengals just yet, but if you like Cincinnati, there’s really no reason to wait.


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